Under the epidemic situation, the beauty industry entered the Warring States Period: Where is the outlet for brands with frequent price-breaking live broadcasts?

Every reporter: Zhang Xiaoyin Every editor: Wen Duo

The domestic cosmetics retail industry is gradually recovering.

According to the data of the National Bureau of Statistics, from January to July this year, the total retail sales of consumer goods nationwide decreased by 9.9% year-on-year, but the retail value of cosmetics products gradually recovered, with a cumulative year-on-year increase of 1%. In the previous quarter, the retail value of domestic cosmetics products once fell by more than 13%.

From the sharp decline to the gradual recovery, many beauty brands are trying to adapt to the special consumption environment: the head international brands have increased their promotion on the e-commerce platform, and the live broadcast room has become a "heavy place" for the marketing of major brands.

However, for the new Xiaomei makeup brand, the low-price strategy is obviously unsustainable. From the current fiery live broadcast industry, there are "sales myths" and "tragic rollover". Behind the rapid increase in sales, there are also hidden concerns about high return rate. How can beauty brands play the live broadcast card well?

Under the epidemic situation, one of the measures taken by many beauty brands to boost sales is to exchange price for quantity. Even for international brands with stable pricing, "promotion" has become something that has to be done now.

Jian Weiqing, president of Taomei Beauty Business Association, described this year’s beauty industry as "the Warring States Period". "The market competition is too fierce. We made an analysis during the’ 618′ period and found that the promotion efforts of mainstream brands this year can be said to be’ unprecedented’, especially the cross-border big brands. The shipment prices have plummeted this year, and many brands have dropped by 20% to 30% compared with previous years."

Zhongtai Securities related research report pointed out that during the "618" period this year, platform and brand discounts increased. On the platform side, the discount and duration of Tmall’s "6.1 Activity" were expanded and extended respectively. In terms of brands, the pre-sale prices of major items of international brands with stable pricing in "618" are close to last year’s "Double Eleven". According to the data of the research report, from the data of the "6.1 Activity", the sales of Tmall beauty products broke through 100 million yuan in one minute and 500 million yuan in 22 minutes that night. One hour after the opening, the sales of L ‘Oreal, Estee Lauder, Lancome and OLAY exceeded 100 million yuan. Two hours later, the sales of 61 beauty brands such as Estee Lauder, SKII and HR exceeded the whole day of last year.

Under the epidemic situation, the online transaction volume of international brands has increased significantly. In this regard, Tu Xian, the head of Taobao’s global purchase brand and supply chain, has the same feeling: "Under the epidemic, the growth rate of global purchase is very fast, reaching 30% to 40%, of which the fastest growth rate is the bonded mode, while the direct mail mode shows a downward trend. Because of the restrictions on leaving the country this year, our buyers can no longer run overseas, so our overseas direct mail business has dropped by about 13% compared with last year."

The figure further indicates: "From the perspective of the entire Haitao market, the growth rate of Haitao people is very fast this year. We predict that the number of people who pay attention to Haitao goods will reach 235 million this year. In the entire Taobao ecosystem, nearly one-third of the 800 million monthly users focus on overseas brands."

The figure also mentioned that affected by the epidemic, Taobao Haitao beauty market has undergone three changes: first, the consumption classification brought by segmentation, local care such as head and eyes have become the habitual demand after the epidemic, and the sales of nose paste, eyelash growth liquid, mask, hair dye cream and eye essence have increased significantly; Second, the beauty users are younger, and the generation after 00 and generation Z are the fastest growing groups of beauty consumption, with a per capita expenditure of 1713 yuan/year, far exceeding the traditional quality population after 80; Third, product ingredients exceed brand awareness and other factors, which has become the first choice for consumers to consider new products. More than 50% Haitao users will pay attention to the main functional ingredients of products when purchasing cosmetics.

With Li Jiaqi and other head anchors creating sales "myths", many company executives also walked into the live broadcast room to bring goods. Under the superimposed epidemic, physical sales suffered setbacks, and "live broadcast" became the key word of online sales of major brands, especially in the online beauty industry, where the original sales relied heavily.

Image source: vision china

In the past six months, many cosmetics brands have tried to seek new sources of growth. However, under the hot live broadcast, the repeated rollover of brand live broadcasts and the frequent price break of big-name cosmetics have also brought thoughts to enterprises: How long can the price war in the live broadcast room last? How do new and small brands get a slice of the pie from big names?

According to Zhang Mofan, the anchor of Red Man and the founder of Meimo Emore brand, many brands entering the live broadcast room hope to get short-term sales promotion through live broadcast, but ignore the high return rate behind the promotion. "In fact, we pay great attention to the long tail effect and commodity return rate in live broadcast. I think these can represent your brand. The ultimate goal of live broadcast should be to let consumers buy because of the brand, not because they are discounted today. However, during the live broadcast, I found that many brands are particularly anxious, and they will ignore consumer cognition and brand tonality, and only remember the transformation and promotion. Therefore, we will see many brands overturned in the live broadcast, because he did not lay the foundation of the brand itself, and immediately promoted it, relying on impulse consumption of consumers to temporarily increase sales, and finally the return rate was very high. "

In fact, although the low-price strategy of live broadcast can break through the sales bottleneck through the "hawking" of the red anchor on the one hand, on the other hand, many brands are beginning to worry that the low-price promotion used in the live broadcast room will have an impact on their own brand image.

Jian Weiqing, president of the Taomei Beauty Business Association, said: "Since this year, due to changes in brand ecology and the international consumer market, there have been many cases of brand price breaks in the industry, which actually has a great impact on small and medium-sized brands and retailers, because small and medium-sized brands are more dependent on the channels of small and medium-sized retailers. However, as small and medium-sized retailers, they don’t have the traffic of big brands, and the traffic of big brands is in the hands of mainstream platforms, super big anchors and absolute head-on operating companies. Therefore, if big brands go down to seize market share, small and medium-sized brands will be under great pressure. "

With the price reduction of big brands, where is the way out for the new Xiaomei makeup brand?

Image source: photo network

Jian Weiqing believes that it is not wise to spell the price for the new Xiaomei makeup brand. "Personally, I think it is necessary to stick to the price strategy, which is the lifeline of a brand. New and small brands must pay attention to it. If some big brands dive in price, it is only a short-term strategy. The price of big brands will dive in a short period of time, the brand will be wiped clean, and new clothes will be replaced. You can still go ashore, but if new and small brands follow suit, the C-end will label the brand as low-priced, so it is difficult to go back." Jian Weiqing said.

According to Huang Yong, the founding partner of Baojiehui Innovation Consumer Fund, if domestic beauty brands want to be unicorns, they need to aim at subdivided tracks. "From the past experience, in the field of beauty care, great companies, such as Durex and Weiting, are easy to appear on the subdivided track. Although the category is not big, if the brand becomes the champion on the subdivided track, the market is very big. From the current beauty care industry, I think the product combination of high-priced instruments and consumables such as beauty instruments and essence is the easiest to go abroad. " Huang Yong said.

In addition, Huang Yong said in an interview with national business daily that although beauty brands were affected in retail during the epidemic, from the perspective of the capital market, the popularity of investing in beauty brands remained unabated. "In the past, we saw domestic beauty brands with perfect diaries, flowers and other heads. In fact, this is just the beginning. From the overall trend, China’s beauty industry has been developing at a high speed, and the research and development and production capacity of domestic beauty brands have been improved, and now we can make good products. We predict that in the future, we will have cutting-edge domestic brands in various segments. At the same time, we believe that in the next ten or even twenty years, China’s Procter & Gamble, Unilever and L ‘Oreal will appear. " Huang Yong said.

Cui Jing, vice chairman of Cosme Beauty Group, expressed his optimism about domestic beauty products. He told national business daily that Cosme Beauty has launched a minimum order quantity of 500 as a beauty OEM. "According to our experience, in fact, local beauty companies in China often do better in localization than international brands. We hope to provide support to local beauty companies in China and reduce their trial and error costs by reducing the minimum order volume." Cui Jing said.

national business daily

Baseball home runs are increasing or partly due to global warming.

In recent years, the number of home runs in American baseball games has increased obviously, which is rumored by baseball circles to be related to the rising temperature. American researchers recently used data to speak, confirming that this statement has some truth. They estimate that global warming has helped major league baseball batters hit an average of about 50 more home runs each year.

Home run refers to the attack method that the batter runs through the first, second and third bases in turn and returns to home plate safely after hitting the ball from the other side. It is a very wonderful climax moment in the baseball game. According to NBC, from the beginning of American professional baseball in the late 19th century to 1993, there was only one season when each team hit more than one home run per game. Since 1994, only four seasons have not seen such a "grand occasion". In the history of professional baseball league, the top four seasons of home runs all appeared in 2017 and later years.

Researchers at Dartmouth College in the United States said in a peer-reviewed paper published in the latest issue of Bulletin of American Meteorological Society that they analyzed 100,000 games and more than 200,000 balls played by Major League Baseball from 2010 to 2019, and combined with weather conditions, stadium and other factors, they found that the probability of hitting a home run increased by 1.8% when the temperature rose by 1 degree Celsius.

According to data from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, the average temperature in June, July and August in the United States has increased by 1.1 degrees Celsius in the past 40 years.

According to researchers, the physics behind the relationship between temperature and home run is simple: when the temperature rises, molecules move faster and farther away from each other, thus reducing the air density, reducing the flying resistance of baseball and making it fly farther.

However, according to researchers’ estimates, from 2010 to 2019, climate warming made about 500 home runs, accounting for only 1% of all home runs. In contrast, non-climatic factors have a greater impact. Allen Nathan, a physicist at the University of Illinois, believes that the biggest factors are the ball itself and the stitching, as well as the batter’s physical quality, pitching angle and speed.

The researchers found that the impact of climate warming on home runs also varies from venue to venue. Home runs are more likely to occur in outdoor venues during the day than in dome stadiums where games are held at night.

The researchers also established a model to estimate the impact of different degrees of warming on home runs. Under the worst-case scenario, by 2050, there will be about 192 home runs in the United States every year, and by 2100, the number will increase to about 467. In a milder situation closer to the current climate change, by 2050, climate warming will promote about 155 home runs every year, and by 2100, this number will increase to about 255.

Source: CCTV news client

Playing badminton has many advantages, but do you know the three disadvantages?

Playing badminton has many advantages, such as losing weight, relieving eye fatigue, relieving cervical discomfort, cultivating sentiment, keeping fit, staying away from sub-health, and enhancing your jumping ability and reflection ability. The application of badminton doubles tactics allows you to learn to cooperate and learn team strength. At the same time, playing badminton also exercises your brain very much. However, playing badminton also has three major disadvantages, which are unavoidable. Do you know?

Disadvantage 1: Playing badminton hurts your knees. When attacking, whether you take off with two feet or one foot, the moment you land, it will increase the burden on your knees. When defending, your body’s center of gravity will drop into a semi-squat posture, which will also add a lot of pressure to your knees, such as the pace of surfing the Internet when you move forward, and stepping back, including all kinds of big strides, small strides, sideways jumps, and steps.

I believe that many badminton lovers have more or less problems with their knees. Here is a very effective way to relieve them. It is impossible to play badminton all the time in the arena. Generally, after a game, you will rest for five to ten minutes. That is, during the rest, you can find a wall to do static squatting. The method is to lean back against the wall, bend your thighs and calves 90 degrees, and your knees should not exceed your toes, so as to relax your knees for five minutes before playing.

Disadvantage 2: Playing badminton costs a lot of money, rubbing against the ground back and forth, and badminton shoes are more expensive to wear than usual sports shoes. This is an expense. The ball line is broken and needs to be replaced. With the improvement of technology, the number of cables is increasing, and the number of thread changes is becoming more and more frequent. This is an expense. The rubber is dirty and there is no friction, so it needs to be replaced. This is an expense.

The biggest expense of playing badminton is the loss of badminton. A barrel of 12-pack badminton can be used, and the price is around 50 yuan. A barrel of balls is normal for four days, and it is more expensive in winter. How to solve this shortcoming is to replace nylon balls that are resistant to playing. The World Badminton Federation has developed outdoor nylon balls that are resistant to playing, but they are not fully popularized!

Disadvantage 3: Playing badminton is a waste of time. After playing for an afternoon, the time passed unconsciously. When playing badminton, I was happy, turned over, and began to regret it after playing. Today’s report has not been finished, and today’s plan has not been made. Today, I agreed to play with my wife and son, but I forgot all about it. I can only apologize to my wife and children and then work overtime alone until the early hours of the morning!

I have seen a poster in a gymnasium, which is very domineering: don’t let your business delay playing badminton! I read it several times, and finally laughed. Playing badminton is a waste of time. Players who are equal to each other always want to have another match, and as a result, one game after another is endless. After several years, you may not be promoted or raised because of playing badminton, but you have gained health. When you see your once all-powerful boss, with six hands and seven hands, starting to draw eight characters,

Game Pass game leaked in December: Tomb Raider: Rise, Cry Out 6.

A few hours ago, Ruins and Ruins 2 landed in Game Pass, and now we may know more about the games that will join Microsoft’s subscription service in the first half of December.

According to the well-known promoter Billbil-kun, at least 12 games will be added to Game Pass Ultimate in the next few weeks, among which there are some famous masterpieces, such as Tomb Raider: Rise and Cry Out 6.

Other games mentioned are:

Steam World: Construction (12.1)

World war z z: the aftermath

Simulated goat 3

Storm City (PC)

Robot Colosseum

Heart of tin

《While the Iron’s Hot》

Soul of the North: Enhanced Edition

In addition to the above games, Billbil-kun also said that in December, Chivalry 2 and Reliable Express will also be added to the Game Pass Core.